The real Joementum

Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 9/23-25. Likely voters. MoE 5% (No trend lines)

Diaz-Balart (R) 45
Garcia (D) 41

So a very well organized Obama campaign and a hyper organized Garcia campaign that has been canvassing since February is taking on this slimeball. He's not just under 50%, he's within the margin of error. The absolute failure of Mario to be able to think is hurting him. Considering the level of resources Obama has pumped into this area (Nick Zimmerman has done an absolutely amazing job here) and the powerful message Joe has pushed it's a damn good site to say Joe'll win this. Independents are leaning for Mario but Joe can make up the 4% points rapidly. With 18% of that electorate up in the air it's a fairly easy job actually. Joe really needs to get the black vote higher (63% only?) and thanks to Obama will probably over perform on where the poll numbers are. I'd love to see more Joe stuff at Miami Dade Kendall and at FIU, so that he can get those young Cubans.

Still he's really got a great chance to win this.

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