Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 9/23-25. Likely voters. MoE 5% (No trend lines)
Ros-Lehtinen (R) 53
Taddeo (D) 36
Yes Taddeo has gone on to TV which will probably single-handedly is worth 4-5%. Yes Ros-Lehtinen looks bad for a Republican who holds office at barely above 50%. But it's a tough district that went 54-46 for Bush in '04 and will probably not see a wildly different number there.
I think it's about a 43-53 race. Inroads here on out will depend fully on a field game and name rec. It's a very tough uphill battle but the first steps by Taddeo are there. She's running out of time though.
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